Elements (11/4 with bet365 and Coral) vs. H2K (2/7 with William Hill) 19:00 CET
Elements are being brought back to earth after a strong start, going from 3 – 1 to 3 – 4 after day 1 of week 4; they are starting to suffer from an extremely passive playstyle, which sees them struggling to find ways back into a game once they fall behind, as was the case on day 1 of this week against Vitality. A lack of playmaking will see them lose more games this season, particularly games that are close or games that they are behind in. The dominance that H2K have shown so far was continued on the first day of the week, not losing a single objective in beating Splyce and showing their rotational prowess once again.
It seems difficult to imagine a scenario in which H2K lose this game, however Elements have shown some shot calling nous when they are even in a match. In any case the important factor for Elements will be making sure that they do not fall behind in the early game, as their lack of individual game changing talent will cause them to simply get squeezed out of gold once H2K get ahead and start to rotate around objectives. As Elements are outclassed in each lane, we would say the onus for keeping them in the early game falls on Gilius in the jungle to support his lanes and keep them even. Gilius has struggled in most games we have seen him play at the top level, and so we say this game should be a very comfortable one for H2K.
H2K to win at 2/7 with William Hill (1.28)
Unicorns of Love (13/10 with betfair) vs. Team Vitality (8/13 with Coral) 20:00 CET
It was great to see the Unicorns of Love play well with Rudy, and it looks like the loss of Diamondprox will not be having as much of an effect as first feared. They comfortably eased past Roccat after snowballing the early game, particularly in the top jungle matchup, and Rudy going unkilled whilst contributing nicely to the snowball will be a good sign for the Unicorns moving forward in the season. Team Vitality are in the same boat as UoL, playing catchup to the top two in the hope that someone drops a game, and are in the same boat after a comfortable day 1 matchup. This is a real test for both of these teams, and we will see a clear 3rd place team at the very least when all is said and done for week 4 of the EU LCS.
Unicorns of Love have been more of a snowball focused team, looking for kills and fights in the early game in order to accrue a lead with which they can move into the mid game. Vitality have been playing a much more rotation based style, often looking for 1 – 3 – 1 splits in order to maintain huge lane pressure, which allows them to freely rotate and pick up objectives whilst the opposing team deals with waves. It is difficult to say which style wins in this matchup, as whilst UoL’s approach is higher risk, it is higher reward. If any of their plays backfire, long death timers allow for Vitality to pick up objectives ontop of kills to snowball the game; exactly the same works in UoL’s favour if they succeed in getting the kills they want. We feel that Vitality have a little bit more of a plan B if they get behind, and this makes us favour them slightly in this matchup.
Team Vitality to win at 8/13 with Coral (1.61)
By: Arron “King Dempz” Dempsey – @arrondempers